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Finding a champion – Part 1 (Offense)

Posted by cuorange on June 30, 2009

In previous seasons we have shown how important certain statistics are in determining champions.  Typically, the most important are defensive statistics and hold true across football, basketball and baseball. 
 
The table below shows offensive statistics in 4 categories for the BCS Champions over the last 9 years. 

Year Team Total Offense Rushing Offense Passing Offense Scoring Offense
2000 Oklahoma 18 68 13 7
2001 Miami 8 21 35 3
2002 Ohio St 70 31 92 41
2003 LSU 31 27 43 19
2004 USC 12 33 13 6
2005 Texas 3 2 40 1
2006 Florida 19 38 28 23
2007 LSU 26 11 58 11
2008 Florida 15 10 61 4

 
Only 2 of the last 9 champions were ranked in the top 10 in total offense, yet 5 of those 9 were in the top 10 in scoring offense.  This suggests being opportunistic with regards to turnovers, as well as on defense and special teams.

Conspicuously absent is any green in the passing offense column.  There have been some good passing teams that have won the BCS, but the highest ranked was 13th, achieved twice.

The data indicates scoring offense, rather than total offense is the most important offensive statistic and to be a contender a team needs to be around the top 20 nationally to be a contender.
 
Up next is Part 2 – (Defense).

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