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What to expect from Billy Napier’s offense (Part IV)

Posted by cuorange on August 14, 2009

Purple HeismanDifferent down, same story.  We don’t have a huge sample to look at in this case, but the same tendencies that held true for other downs hold true on third and 4 or less:  Napier calls a higher percentage of running plays as the Tigers move down the field.
 
In this case, the runs were more successful in gaining first downs.  Between the opponents 40 and 21 the Tigers ran 4 times on 3rd and 4 or less and gained 2 first downs (50%).  They called 2 passes and gained 1 first down (50%).
 
From the 20 on in the Tigers ran two plays on 3rd and 4 or less, both runs, and gained first downs on both of them (100%).
 
Combining these two means the Tigers were successful on 4 of 6 (67%) runs and 1 of 2 passes (50%) on 3rd and 4 or less from the opponents 40 and closer. That’s not a bad conversion rate or run/pass ratio.  It does show however, that Napier’s tendencies to run more as the Tigers move down the field cross first, second and third downs.

Down Distance Yd Line Running Plays Run % Pass Plays Pass % Total Plays
3 4 or less 1 to 19 0 0% 1 100% 1
3 4 or less 20 to 39 2 29% 5 71% 7
3 4 or less 40 to 59 2 33% 4 67% 6
3 4 or less 60 to 79 4 67% 2 33% 6
3 4 or less 80 to 99 2 100% 0 0% 2
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