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Archive for the ‘ACC Football’ Category

In depth look at third downs

Posted by cuorange on December 23, 2009

Here’s a table with the results of every third down situation this year (including 3rd and goal to go of the various distances). When you’re clicking along at 38.67% (70 for 181) overall you know there are going to be some ugly stats mixed in there and we don’t have to look far to find those.

While 59.1% doesn’t sound so bad, it doesn’t really sound great when it’s third and 1. Think about that. Over 40% of the time the Tigers failed on 3rd and 1. Wow. And when you get to third and 5 or more, well lets just say the chances aren’t good.

The moral of the story for the Tigers is to go into third down with 4 or less yards to go that way Clemson has a 59.7% chance of converting. Otherwise, it’s 26.3% chance for the Tigers, basically one of every 4.

There are a couple of interesting anomalies in the numbers though. While the Tigers are 5 for 15 on 3rd and 6 and 1 for 16 on 3rd and 8 (what the hell?) they are 6 for 12 on 3rd and 7 and 4 of 8 on 3rd and 11. So, 33% on 3rd and 6, 6% on 3rd and 8, but 50% on 3rd and 7 and 3rd and 11.  Alrighty.

To Go Made/Att PCT
 1  13/22   59.1
2  7/12  58.3
3  10/16  62.5
4  10/17  58.8
5  4/13  30.8
6  5/16  31.3
7  6/12  50.0
8  1/16  6.3
9  4/11  36.4
10  4/14  28.6
11  4/8  50.0
12  0/6  0.0
13  0/3  0.0
14  1/2  50.0
15  1/5  20.0
16  0/2  0.0
19  0/1  0.0
20  0/2  0.0
21  0/1  0.0
23  0/1  0.0
49  0/1  0.0
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Posted in ACC Football, Clemson Football, College Football | Tagged: | Leave a Comment »

Efficiencies

Posted by cuorange on December 7, 2009

Offensive Efficiency

Opponent TD FG Punts TO Downs Half Possess Points OE
MTSU 2 3 3 2 3 1 14 23 1.64
Georgia Tech 3 2 6 2 2 0 15 27 1.80
Boston College 0 6 5 3 1 1 16 18 1.13
TCU 1 1 5 0 4 0 11 10 0.91
Maryland 1 2 6 1 2 0 12 13 1.08
Wake Forest 5 1 6 2 0 1 15 38 2.53
Miami 3 2 3 3 1 1 13 26 2.00
Coastal Carolina 7 0 3 2 0 0 12 49 4.08
Florida State 6 0 3 2 3 0 14 40 2.86
North Carolina State 6 1 3 0 0 1 11 43 3.91
Virginia 4 2 3 0 2 1 12 34 2.83
South Carolina 1 1 7 3 1 0 13 10 0.77
Georgia Tech 5 0 0 2 2 1  10   34   3.40 
Totals 44 21 53 22 21 7 168 365 2.17

Defensive Efficiency

Opponent TD FG Punts TO Downs Half Possess Points DE
MTSU 1 0 7 3 3 1 15 7 0.47
Georgia Tech 2 3 6 2 0 2 15 23 1.53
Boston College 1 0 10 4 1 1 17 7 0.41
TCU 2 0 6 0 1 2 11 14 1.27
Maryland 3 1 7 1 1 2 15 24 1.60
Wake Forest 0 1 9 2 1 1 14 3 0.21
Miami 3 3 3 4 0 1 14 30 2.14
Coastal Carolina 0 1 8 2 0 2 13 3 0.23
Florida State 2 1 3 5 1 2 14 17 1.21
North Carolina State 3 1 5 1 1 0 11 23 2.09
Virginia 3 0 5 2 2 0 12 21 1.75
South Carolina 4 2 4 2 1 2 15 34 2.27
Gerogia Tech 4 4  0  0 1 1  10  39   3.90 
Totals 28 17 73 28 13 17 176 245 1.39

Posted in ACC Football, Clemson Football, College Football | Tagged: , | Leave a Comment »

Third downs plague Tigers

Posted by cuorange on December 2, 2009

After a 5 of 13 day against Virgina, the Tigers got even worse last Saturday managing to convert only 3 of 13 third downs including 0 for 6 on distances between 7 and 10 yards.  Not good and something that has to improve if the Tigers are to have any chance to win on Saturday.

Year 3rd and 1-3 3rd and 4-6 3rd and 7-10 3rd and 11 or more
2008 60.71% 38.10% 20.69% 8.33%
2009 58.70% 38.64% 28.85% 20.00%
2009 27/46 17/44 15/52 6/30

Posted in ACC Football, Clemson Football, College Football | Tagged: | Leave a Comment »

Inefficiencies

Posted by cuorange on November 30, 2009

Offensive Efficiency

Opponent TD FG Punts TO Downs Half Possess Points OE
MTSU 2 3 3 2 3 1 14 23 1.64
Georgia Tech 3 2 6 2 2 0 15 27 1.80
Boston College 0 6 5 3 1 1 16 18 1.13
TCU 1 1 5 0 4 0 11 10 0.91
Maryland 1 2 6 1 2 0 12 13 1.08
Wake Forest 5 1 6 2 0 1 15 38 2.53
Miami 3 2 3 3 1 1 13 26 2.00
Coastal Carolina 7 0 3 2 0 0 12 49 4.08
Florida State 6 0 3 2 3 0 14 40 2.86
North Carolina State 6 1 3 0 0 1 11 43 3.91
Virginia 4 2 3 0 2 1 12 34 2.83
South Carolina 1  3 1 0  13  10  0.77 
Totals 39 21 53 20 19 6 158 331 2.09

Defensive Efficiency

Opponent TD FG Punts TO Downs Half Possess Points DE
MTSU 1 0 7 3 3 1 15 7 0.47
Georgia Tech 2 3 6 2 0 2 15 23 1.53
Boston College 1 0 10 4 1 1 17 7 0.41
TCU 2 0 6 0 1 2 11 14 1.27
Maryland 3 1 7 1 1 2 15 24 1.60
Wake Forest 0 1 9 2 1 1 14 3 0.21
Miami 3 3 3 4 0 1 14 30 2.14
Coastal Carolina 0 1 8 2 0 2 13 3 0.23
Florida State 2 1 3 5 1 2 14 17 1.21
North Carolina State 3 1 5 1 1 0 11 23 2.09
Virginia 3 0 5 2 2 0 12 21 1.75
South Carolina  2  4 1 2   15    34    2.27  
Totals 24 13 73 28 12 16 166 206 1.24

Posted in ACC Football, Clemson Football, College Football | Tagged: , | Leave a Comment »

Pass Distribution

Posted by cuorange on November 27, 2009

Updated look at where the passes are going, and a reminder that Michael Palmer is money.  FYI – this information comes from the official play by play transcripts on clemsontigers.com. I know what you’re thinking – I, too thought we had more than 12 drops, but that is what the official stats say. Also, there were no drops listed for the Maryland game. I guess Maryland can’t afford that level of statistician.

Player Thrown To Complete Pct Yards TDs 1st Downs Drops
B. Ford 1 1 100.00 4 0 0 0
K. Johnson 1 1 100.00 11 0 1 0
M. Palmer 37 30 81.08 333 3 23 1
J. Harper 10 8 80.00 38 0 1 0
C.J. Spiller 43 29 67.44 421 4 11 0
C. Diehl 3 2 66.67 20 0 2 0
A. Ellington 14 9 64.29 48 0 4 0
X. Dye 21 13 61.90 218 3 11 1
R. Taylor 13 8 61.54 53 0 2 1
T. Ashe 20 11 55.00 124 0 7 0
J. Ford 84 45 53.57 654 5 25 5
M. Jones 15 8 53.33 167 1 5 1
D. Allen 23 9 39.13 96 3 6 3
D. Barry 3 1 33.33 2 1 0 0
B. Clear 10 3 30.00 31 0 1 0
J. Brown 9 2 22.22 24 1 1 0
Interceptions 10
Totals 317 180 56.78 2244 21 100 12

Posted in ACC Football, Clemson Football, College Football | Tagged: | Leave a Comment »

Tigers take a step back on third down

Posted by cuorange on November 25, 2009

A 5 of 13 day on third downs wasn’t great and the Tigers failed miserably at times, including a 3rd and 1 at the Virginia 4 on the opening drive and two third and goals (one from the 3 and one from the 6). On the flip side, Parker found Jacoby Ford on third and 10 from the UVA 24 for a touchdown that put the Tigers up 10 with 1:52 left in the first half.

Year 3rd and 1-3 3rd and 4-6 3rd and 7-10 3rd and 11 or more
2008 60.71% 38.10% 20.69% 8.33%
2009 60.47% 37.50% 32.61% 20.00%
2009 26/43 15/40 15/46 6/30

Posted in ACC Football, Clemson Football, College Football | Tagged: | Leave a Comment »

Efficiencies through game 11

Posted by cuorange on November 23, 2009

Offensive Efficiency

Opponent TD FG Punts TO Downs Half Possess Points OE
MTSU 2 3 3 2 3 1 14 23 1.64
Georgia Tech 3 2 6 2 2 0 15 27 1.80
Boston College 0 6 5 3 1 1 16 18 1.13
TCU 1 1 5 0 4 0 11 10 0.91
Maryland 1 2 6 1 2 0 12 13 1.08
Wake Forest 5 1 6 2 0 1 15 38 2.53
Miami 3 2 3 3 1 1 13 26 2.00
Coastal Carolina 7 0 3 2 0 0 12 49 4.08
Florida State 6 0 3 2 3 0 14 40 2.86
North Carolina State 6 1 3 0 0 1 11 43 3.91
Virginia 4 2 3 0 2 1 12 34 2.83
Totals 38 20 46 17 18 6 145 321 2.21

Defensive Efficiency

Opponent TD FG Punts TO Downs Half Possess Points DE
MTSU 1 0 7 3 3 1 15 7 0.47
Georgia Tech 2 3 6 2 0 2 15 23 1.53
Boston College 1 0 10 4 1 1 17 7 0.41
TCU 2 0 6 0 1 2 11 14 1.27
Maryland 3 1 7 1 1 2 15 24 1.60
Wake Forest 0 1 9 2 1 1 14 3 0.21
Miami 3 3 3 4 0 1 14 30 2.14
Coastal Carolina 0 1 8 2 0 2 13 3 0.23
Florida State 2 1 3 5 1 2 14 17 1.21
North Carolina State 3 1 5 1 1 0 11 23 2.09
Virginia 3  0  5  2  0 12   21  1.75 
Totals 20 11 69 26 11 14 151 172 1.14

Posted in ACC Football, Clemson Football, College Football | Tagged: , | Leave a Comment »

Pass distribution

Posted by cuorange on November 19, 2009

Here’s a look at where the passes are going. FYI – this information comes from the official play by play transcripts on clemsontigers.com. I know what you’re thinking – I, too thought we had more than 12 drops, but that is what the official stats say. Also, there were no drops listed for the Maryland game. I guess Maryland can’t afford that level of statistician.

Player Thrown To Complete Pct Yards TDs 1st Downs Drops
B. Ford 1 1 100.00 4 0 0 0
K. Johnson 1 1 100.00 11 0 1 0
M. Palmer 33 27 81.82 303 3 21 1
J. Harper 10 8 80.00 38 0 1 0
C.J. Spiller 36 24 66.67 382 4 10 0
C. Diehl 3 2 66.67 20 0 2 0
A. Ellington 14 9 64.29 48 0 4 0
X. Dye 19 12 63.16 205 3 10 1
T. Ashe 20 11 55.00 124 0 7 0
R. Taylor 11 6 54.55 34 0 1 1
J. Ford 76 39 51.32 548 4 20 5
M. Jones 14 7 50.00 156 1 5 1
D. Barry 2 1 50.00 2 1 0 0
D. Allen 22 8 36.36 80 2 5 3
B. Clear 10 3 30.00 31 0 1 0
J. Brown 9 2 22.22 24 1 1 0
Interceptions 10
Totals 291 161 55.33 2010 19 89 12

Couple things this shows to me – 1) Michael Palmer is money. 82% of the passes thrown to him are complete. 78% of his catches are for first downs. 1 drop. 2) Dye has stepped up over the last two games and we need that to continue as the evidence is showing that he is getting open and catching the ball (63% completion rate) and has 10 first downs on 12 catches. He looks to be emerging as the second threat at WR with an occasional hand from Ashe. Marquan Jones has disappeared, playing only 1 play against FSU and 6 against N.C. State, while Ashe played 33 and 23 snaps in those games respectively.

Posted in ACC Football, Clemson Football, College Football | Tagged: | Leave a Comment »

Third Down Conversions

Posted by cuorange on November 18, 2009

At first blush a 6 for 10 day on third downs appears to be ho-hum.  However, a look inside those 6 conversions shows why third down conversions are so important and lead to 20 point blow out wins.
 
Ahead 3-0 in the first quarter the Tigers faced a 3rd and 5 from their own 30.  Kyle Parker found Xavier Dye for 17 yards and first down to keep the drive alive.  Three plays later the Tigers faced 3rd and 7 at midfield.  Parker found Mr. Reliable, Michael Palmer, open for a 22 yard gain down to the N.C. State 28 and the Tigers went on to score a touchdown and go ahead 10-0.
 
Later in the second quarter the Tigers faced third and 11 from their own 42.  Parker found Jacoby Ford wide open in the center of the field for a 47 yard gain to the State 11 yard line.  Three plays later the Tigers were facing a third and 4 from the State 5 when Parker found Palmer open in the back of the end zone for a touchdown and a 17 point lead.
 
In the 4th quarter with the State still hanging around and trailing by 13, the Tigers had a 3rd and 3 from their own 43.  A stop here meant State could potentially have pulled within 6 points.  It wasn’t meant to be as Parker found Palmer again for a 16 yard game to the N.C. State 41 and the Tigers put the game away 2 plays later on a Spiller wheel route for a 36-17 lead.

Year 3rd and 1-3 3rd and 4-6 3rd and 7-10 3rd and 11 or more
2008 60.71% 38.10% 20.69% 8.33%
2009 62.16% 37.84% 32.56% 20.69%
2009 23/37 14/37 14/43 6/29

 
That was the good.  The bad was that the Tigers faced 3 third downs of 11 yards or more bringing their season total to 29 third downs of 11 yards or more.  Playing behind the chains as Swinney says.  And while the Tigers converted one of these last Saturday and ended up scoring on the drive, statistically speaking the odds are small on converting third and 11 or more.

Posted in ACC Football, Clemson Football, College Football | Tagged: | Leave a Comment »

Efficiencies

Posted by cuorange on November 16, 2009

The Tigers marched up and down the field on Saturday, scoring 38 or more for the 5th game in a row. Sure, there were mistakes (missed extra points, etc), but a sign of a good team is winning by 20 on the road when you play less than perfect. More on this later in my weekly third down conversions post, but the Tigers came up huge on third downs.

Offensive Efficiency

Opponent TD FG Punts TO Downs Half Possess Points OE
MTSU 2 3 3 2 3 1 14 23 1.64
Georgia Tech 3 2 6 2 2 0 15 27 1.80
Boston College 0 6 5 3 1 1 16 18 1.13
TCU 1 1 5 0 4 0 11 10 0.91
Maryland 1 2 6 1 2 0 12 13 1.08
Wake Forest 5 1 6 2 0 1 15 38 2.53
Miami 3 2 3 3 1 1 13 26 2.00
Coastal Carolina 7 0 3 2 0 0 12 49 4.08
Florida State 6 0 3 2 3 0 14 40 2.86
North Carolina State 6 1 3 0 0 2 12 43 3.58
Totals 34 18 43 17 16 6 134 287 2.14

The Tiger defense gave up 23 points, but six of those were in garbage time, so for all intents and purposes they held a powerful offense (averaging 33 points a game) to 17 points. Russell Wilson had 0 passing yards 20 minutes into the game. Still, stupid penalties enabled the Pack on several occasions and that is something that needs to be corrected.

Kevin Steele was irate about the garbage time touchdown, which bodes well for the team being “coached up” this week.

Defensive Efficiency

Opponent TD FG Punts TO Downs Half Possess Points DE
MTSU 1 0 7 3 3 1 15 7 0.47
Georgia Tech 2 3 6 2 0 2 15 23 1.53
Boston College 1 0 10 4 1 1 17 7 0.41
TCU 2 0 6 0 1 2 11 14 1.27
Maryland 3 1 7 1 1 2 15 24 1.60
Wake Forest 0 1 9 2 1 1 14 3 0.21
Miami 3 3 3 4 0 1 14 30 2.14
Coastal Carolina 0 1 8 2 0 2 13 3 0.23
Florida State 2 1 3 5 1 2 14 17 1.21
North Carolina State 3 1 5 1 1 0 11 23 2.09
Totals 17 11 64 24 9 14 139 151 1.09

Posted in ACC Football, Clemson Football, College Football | Leave a Comment »